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Rule of Thumb

May 30th 2008 11:22
Just sometime ago I watched Sir Richard Branson saying on TV that he did all his business deals on a rule of thumb basis and that only later accountants were called in.

This makes sense to me but when I was an accounting student they told me to distrust management’s “gut feeling” and “rule of thumb”. What accountants must do, my lecturers preached, is to provide precise, well calculated figures that management can use to plan and evaluate operations. Fine, I thought.

But consider these precise figures on the area of statistics relative to a hypothetical company: the average number of customers who bought our new product is, exactly, 10.5. You could easily say that ten whole customers is alright, but ½ customer stretches the imagination, yet the figure would be precise. Or is it overkill?


All this might make sense for an accountant but it also makes it obvious that business leaders are there to make business deals, which they often do, and accountants to count money, which they know well how to. This way it all falls in place.
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The Culture of Poverty

May 24th 2008 11:17
We in Australia live in such prosperity, there is so much money going around, even for some meaningless activities such as fishing the Marlin or golfing. I think most people would find it hard to believe the poverty in which such a large part of humanity still lives under today.

In Dr Mohammad Yunus autobiography, Banker to the Poor (1), the founder of the Grameen Bank of Bangladesh explains how the culture traps people in it.

In Bangladesh most people are poor. There are commercial banks but they do not lend to the poor, the reason being: (a) they don’t lend small amounts of money; and (b) the poor cannot provide collateral to guarantee their loans.


Because poor people cannot provide collateral they cannot borrow, and so cannot invest in profitable small business enterprises of their own creation and get out of the vicious circle of poverty.

It’s not that the poor lack entrepreneurial spirit – they actually have lots of practical business ideas – it’s just that commercial banks would not lend to them.

On the other hand, as a side note, it’s ridiculous what the upper classes of Bangladesh do with regards to loaning money. They just borrow a lot of it, because they can provide collateral, but they never mean to repay it. This is because of a quirk in the political system in which all parties promise that, upon being elected, they will pardon all citizens’ debt, which they actually do repeatedly.

The other aspect of the culture of poverty is to think that the poor are so because they either are lazy or stupid. The fact is that the poor know exactly how to get out of their vicious circle, if just someone lends them some money.

Often the poor of Bangladesh fall victim of the private lender which is also a trader in some product such as baskets made of fibre, and who charges them 20 per cent per week and sometimes per day on loaned money. Having to pay such interest, the poor fall prey of such lenders, never to make enough money and become independent.

Dr Mohammad Yunus started lending to the poor when he realised their enormous hard working and practical nature. From there the Grameen bank was born and has been replicated since in many parts of the world with great success. Dr Yunus received the Nobel Prize for Peace 2006 between many other recognitions.

Millions of Grameen borrowers have crossed the line of poverty and increased their wellbeing manyfold. It’s particularly interesting that Grameen lends only to those who are utmost poor, because obviously, the desperation of their situation gives them motivation and courage.

Grameen also only lends to groups of four or five borrowers, being each member of the group responsible for the punctual repayments of the others. Peer pressure substitutes for collateral. Grameen’s repayment rate is 98 per cent, a staggering figure by any means.

The Grameen experience is the proof that once broken the circle of poverty, nothing can stop the poor getting into a much better economic situation.

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(1) Yunus, Mohammad; Banker to the Poor: the autobiography of Muhammad Yunus, founder of the Grameen Bank, Aurun Press, London 1998, ISBN: 1854105779.
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Effort to Pay Rate

May 23rd 2008 11:02
If you get paid by the hour for your work, do you know how much effort you are supposed to outlay?

I suppose the practical answer is: as much as necessary to achieve the goals of that particular business in what relates to that particular job. This could give you a rate of effort per hourly pay that would characterise your position. Which is all right.

But what if you are asked to increase your efforts by some reason or if you are just hard working? You would be going above your effort to pay rate for the job. I ask whether you should be asking for a pay rise.

On the other hand, what if you are just plain lazy? You would be outputting less than the required effort to pay rate in that job. Should you be imposed a lesser pay on the same basis?

If you work harder than the job requirement, you will be accumulating a job goodwill while, if you work less that that benchmark, you will be risking being replaced.

At least for the hard workers, I would say that, if your boss does not give you a commensurate pay increase, he is appropriating your job goodwill. I could be seen as a communist speaking this way, but I don’t care.

There are a lot of jobs where extra effort conducts to promotion and year end bonuses, but if you are hard working and stuck in a dead-end job you are probably being skinned throughout. The cynical alternative view is that you are redefining the job effort to pay rate. You wouldn’t be getting a cent out of this for your wonderful efforts.

All this just makes me thing that working for an hourly rate of pay is a very poor way to do business. I have approached this topic in the article Paid to be Lazy and The Trouble with Commuting but I would say here and again that we should be all paid for a profit, not for a salary. Giving people work paid by the job, not by the hour, is what I envisage as revolutioning the market place.
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Long Term Investing

May 23rd 2008 10:59
The purpose of investing often gets people confused. Most people think of making a quick buck and exiting the market. Yet, investing could be seen differently.

There are at least two purposes to investing: (1) investing to make a gain and then converting it into currency to be used for some other extraneous purpose such as buying a new car, going on holidays or just throwing a big party; and (2) investing to increase one’s wealth on a permanent basis being that then the investment gains a long term view and is not, ultimately, to be converted to into a consumption good


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When I go through Marrickville in my bus back from work I always observe the businesses around. Most of them seem to be quite profitable and well run. Interestingly enough, some rare ones don’t.

I am thinking of the second-hand furniture and electrical business in Victoria Road. If they sell a couple of items they probably make the day, but they don’t seem to be busy


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Powerlessness and Undeservedness

February 12th 2008 11:07
In its most classic book “Think and Grow Rich” Napoleon Hill 1 lists the fears that in his view affect most people: poverty, criticism, ill health, lost love, old age and death. It’s interesting to notice that, except maybe for death, money would be a palliative for any of the above fears.

In a more recent and no less interesting book, “How to Think Like a Millionaire” Mark Fisher and Marc Allen 2 state that the two most powerful fears to becoming wealthy are powerlessness and undeservedness. This looks rather remarkable and makes me think


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Sometimes history repeats itself and then it’s for the ones who study its meanders to take advantage of it and come up with better solutions for current problems. Such is certainly the case of the German war reparations in the aftermach of the Great War and is certainly also the case of the loans to Third World countries culminating in 1982.

These two situations contain something common, which in the second case was much better addressed than in the first. Just follow me and we will go through it


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Saving, Wealth and the Rat Race

January 29th 2008 10:57
Do you ever feel lured to save your money? If you do, you will consider that there are at least three purposes with regards to saving: (1) saving to buy something; (2) saving for the sake of amassing money, and (3) saving to invest.

(1) Saving to buy something: when you save to buy something, like an airplane ticket to Thailand, you sacrifice alternative expenditure to the extent of that amount. Once you've made the ticket price, you stop saving, buy the ticket and return to your normal spending patterns. You have then as much wealth as when you started saving, assuming that you couldn’t re-sell the ticket. Obviously, this is saving to spend and keeps you in the rat race


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The Trouble with Commuting

January 22nd 2008 10:25
We live in a time of central business districts, industrial parks and hubs of every kind. These realities are now-a-days accepted uncritically, as if they were indispensable or had always been there. Yet, things were not always like this.

Today we get up early in the morning and either drive, take a bus, a train or a ferryboat to work. And then at the end of the day we reverse our steps. As a norm we do this all at the same time so that the pressure on the infrastructure is maximum


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Styles of investing

The most basic principle of investing is to buy low and sell high. Some people, judging by the prices they pay, need remembering this principle. In fact, if you buy high, there is only a speculative possibility that you will make a gain


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